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OK0NAG > SOLAR    06.11.09 23:07l 204 Lines 6153 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 6 Nov 2009 22:05:27 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2009 Nov 06 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 310 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Nov 2009

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z

to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1030 (N24W07) was

a simple beta group with 6 spots. No flares were observed.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to

be quiet on day one (07 November). Quiet to unsettled levels, with a

slight chance for active conditions at high latitudes, are expected

on day two (08 November) in response to a weak recurrent coronal

hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet

levels on day three (09 November).

III.  Event Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           06 Nov 071

Predicted   07 Nov-09 Nov  070/070/070

90 Day Mean        06 Nov 070

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 05 Nov  000/001

Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Nov  000/001

Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov  005/005-007/007-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/10/05

Minor storm           01/05/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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