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OK0NAG > SOLAR    05.11.09 23:05l 203 Lines 6145 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 5 Nov 2009 22:04:04 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2009 Nov 05 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 309 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Nov 2009

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  04/2100Z

to 05/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1030 (N25E04) was

numbered today as a Cro beta sunspot group with 5 spots. No flares

were observed during the past 24-hours.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low, with a slight chance for a C-class flare.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet on days one and two (06-07 November). Quiet to

unsettled conditions are expected on day three (08 November) as a

weak recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream moves into a

geoeffective position.

III.  Event Probabilities 06 Nov-08 Nov

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           05 Nov 071

Predicted   06 Nov-08 Nov  070/070/070

90 Day Mean        05 Nov 071

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 04 Nov  001/000

Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Nov  002/002

Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Nov-08 Nov  005/006-005/005-006/006

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Nov-08 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/05/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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