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OK0NAG > SOLAR    04.11.09 23:06l 193 Lines 5684 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 4 Nov 2009 22:05:01 +0000
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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2009 Nov 04 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Nov 2009

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z

to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No spotted regions appear

on the disk.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be unsettled on day 1 (5 November) due to possible

effects from the CME of 31 October. Quiet conditions will return on

day 2 and 3 (6-7November).

III.  Event Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           04 Nov 071

Predicted   05 Nov-07 Nov  070/070/070

90 Day Mean        04 Nov 071

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 03 Nov  001/000

Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Nov  008/008

Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Nov-07 Nov  008/008-005/005-007/007

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                15/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                30/10/20

Minor storm           20/01/05

Major-severe storm    05/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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