| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 11.10.09 23:04l 220 Lines 6834 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : BAJOK0NAG00T
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<IR2UBX<IW2OHX<OE6XPE<9A0BBS<OK0NAG
Sent: 091011/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 11 Oct 2009 22:01:23 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1255298504-2b2700240000-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 11 Oct 2009 22:19:30.0578 (UTC) FILETIME=[E7277720:01CA4AC0]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-bin/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-virus-scanned: by Barracuda Spam & Virus Firewall at asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-start-time: 1255298504
----boundary_220502_3804d9d1-3b99-49e1-867c-8438581faaa6
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Oct 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 284 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Oct 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. A
geomagnetic sudden impulse occurred at 11/0042Z (09 nT, as measured
by the Boulder USGS magnetometer). ACE solar wind observations
indicated a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream commenced early
in the period. Solar wind velocities gradually increased during the
period (peak 463 km/sec at 11/1901Z). A period of mostly southward
Bz was observed during 11/0430 - 0800Z (minimum -10 nT at 11/0636Z).
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels through the period (12 - 14
October) with a chance for isolated unsettled conditions as the
recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream persists.
III. Event Probabilities 12 Oct-14 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Oct 070
Predicted 12 Oct-14 Oct 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 11 Oct 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Oct 000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Oct 007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Oct-14 Oct 007/007-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Oct-14 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_220502_3804d9d1-3b99-49e1-867c-8438581faaa6
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_220502_3804d9d1-3b99-49e1-867c-8438581faaa6--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
