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OK0NAG > SOLAR    08.10.09 23:03l 199 Lines 5972 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 8 Oct 2009 22:00:51 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2009 Oct 08 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 281 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Oct 2009

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z

to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.

The visible disk was spotless.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is

expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (09 - 10 October).

Field activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels

on day 3 (11 October) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed

stream.

III.  Event Probabilities 09 Oct-11 Oct

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           08 Oct 069

Predicted   09 Oct-11 Oct  069/069/069

90 Day Mean        08 Oct 069

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 07 Oct  001/002

Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Oct  001/002

Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Oct-11 Oct  005/005-005/005-007/007

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Oct-11 Oct

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/10/15

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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