| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 25.09.09 23:04l 216 Lines 6617 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : P9JOK0NAG00M
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 090925/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 25 Sep 2009 22:03:02 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1253916198-73ab00000000-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 25 Sep 2009 22:20:45.0875 (UTC) FILETIME=[6D6CE030:01CA3E2E]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-bin/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-virus-scanned: by Barracuda Spam & Virus Firewall at asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-start-time: 1253916198
----boundary_104010_f4409cad-b438-41f8-bbe3-d5eeb4a27e84
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Sep 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 268 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Sep 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1026 (S30E15) produced
a C2 x-ray flare at 25/0102Z. This single-spot group has decreased
in area in the past 24 hours. Region 1027 (N24W08) remains a beta
group and has also decreased in both area and sunspot count.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled, with isolated active conditions, for day
one (26 September) as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream
becomes geoeffective. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for
day two (27 September), with mostly quiet conditions returning for
day three (28 September).
III. Event Probabilities 26 Sep-28 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Sep 072
Predicted 26 Sep-28 Sep 072/072/070
90 Day Mean 25 Sep 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Sep 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Sep 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Sep-28 Sep 010/012-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Sep-28 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/25/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/30/05
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_104010_f4409cad-b438-41f8-bbe3-d5eeb4a27e84
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_104010_f4409cad-b438-41f8-bbe3-d5eeb4a27e84--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
