| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 24.09.09 23:05l 217 Lines 6746 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : O9JOK0NAG00Z
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 090924/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 24 Sep 2009 22:03:51 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1253829841-6af7003b0000-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 24 Sep 2009 22:21:33.0437 (UTC) FILETIME=[5F5C82D0:01CA3D65]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-bin/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-virus-scanned: by Barracuda Spam & Virus Firewall at asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-start-time: 1253829841
----boundary_97625_e56810d1-2475-46d9-8cd4-da99a9dfca59
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Sep 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 267 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Sep 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1026 (S29E28)
produced a B1 x-ray flare at 24/0020Z. This region remains an
H-type spot group. Region 1027 (N24E05) continues to grow slightly
in area and spot count and remains unchanged in its magnetic beta
configuration.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for day one (25 September). Quiet to
unsettled levels, with isolated active conditions, are expected for
day two (26 September). This activity is expected due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected to return for day three (27 September).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Sep-27 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Sep 075
Predicted 25 Sep-27 Sep 075/075/075
90 Day Mean 24 Sep 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Sep 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Sep 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Sep-27 Sep 005/005-010/012-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Sep-27 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/30/25
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/35/30
Minor storm 01/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/05/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_97625_e56810d1-2475-46d9-8cd4-da99a9dfca59
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_97625_e56810d1-2475-46d9-8cd4-da99a9dfca59--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
