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OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.09.09 23:05l 206 Lines 6251 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 16 Sep 2009 22:03:29 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Sep 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 259 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Sep 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet with an isolated
unsettled period at mid latitudes from 0300Z-0600Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet with isolated unsettled levels for day one
and day two (17-18 September). This activity is due to a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream. On day three (19 September), the
geomagnetic field is expected to return to quiet levels.
III. Event Probabilities 17 Sep-19 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Sep 069
Predicted 17 Sep-19 Sep 069/069/070
90 Day Mean 16 Sep 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Sep 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Sep 007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Sep-19 Sep 007/010-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Sep-19 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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