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OK0NAG > SOLAR    08.09.09 23:10l 210 Lines 6410 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2009 Sep 08 2204 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 251 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Sep 2009

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z

to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. A weak B-level event was

seen in GOES x-rays at approximately 1701Z, which was associated 

with a brightening of plage region 1025(N17W73). The solar disk was

otherwise void of activity and continues to be spotless.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low for the next three days (9-11 September).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet to unsettled for day one (9 September), due to

a recurrent coronal high speed stream. On day two and day three

(10-11 September), the geomagnetic field is expected to return to

quiet levels.

III.  Event Probabilities 09 Sep-11 Sep

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           08 Sep 069

Predicted   09 Sep-11 Sep  069/069/069

90 Day Mean        08 Sep 068

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 07 Sep  003/003

Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Sep  003/008

Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Sep-11 Sep  007/010-005/008-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Sep-11 Sep

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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