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OK0NAG > SOLAR 09.02.08 23:31l 72 Lines 2786 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sat, 9 Feb 2008 22:01:59 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Feb 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 040 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Feb 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk was
spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1(10 February). Activity is
expected to increase to unsettled to active on day 2 (11 February)
due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is
expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled on day 3 (12 February).
III. Event Probabilities 10 Feb-12 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Feb 072
Predicted 10 Feb-12 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 09 Feb 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Feb 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Feb 005/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Feb-12 Feb 005/012-015/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Feb-12 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/40/25
Minor storm 01/10/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/45/30
Minor storm 01/15/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
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