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OK0NAG > SOLAR 08.02.08 23:31l 72 Lines 2817 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 8 Feb 2008 22:01:59 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Feb 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 039 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Feb 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1 (09 Feb). Activity is
expected to increase to unsettled to active levels on day 2 (10 Feb)
due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is
expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on day 3 (11 Feb).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Feb-11 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Feb 071
Predicted 09 Feb-11 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 08 Feb 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Feb 006/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Feb 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Feb-11 Feb 010/012-015/015-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Feb-11 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/40/25
Minor storm 01/10/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/45/30
Minor storm 05/15/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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