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OK0NAG > SOLAR 07.02.08 23:31l 71 Lines 2756 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Thu, 7 Feb 2008 22:01:59 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Feb 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 038 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Feb 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred. The
visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled during days 1 - 2 (08 - 09 Feb).
Activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active levels on
day 3 (10 Feb) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Feb-10 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Feb 071
Predicted 08 Feb-10 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 07 Feb 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Feb 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Feb 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Feb-10 Feb 007/008-010/012-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Feb-10 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/25/40
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/30/40
Minor storm 01/05/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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