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OK0NAG > SOLAR 22.03.09 00:07l 72 Lines 2766 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Sat, 21 Mar 2009 22:02:34 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Mar 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 080 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Mar 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z
to 21/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Unsettled conditions
were observed between 21/09-15Z. ACE solar wind observations show a
continued influence from the recurrent coronal hole. Velocities
ranged between 379-455 km/s, and interplanetary Bz ranged from -9 nT
and +11 nT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (22-24
March).
III. Event Probabilities 22 Mar-24 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Mar 070
Predicted 22 Mar-24 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 21 Mar 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Mar 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Mar 006/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Mar-24 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Mar-24 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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