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Date: Sun, 15 Mar 2009 01:14:23 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Mar 15 0112 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 073 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Mar 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. Solar
wind velocity at ACE showed a gradual decrease from 550 to 530 km/s
as effects from a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream wane. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the forecast period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (15 - 17
March).
III. Event Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Mar 069
Predicted 15 Mar-17 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 14 Mar 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Mar 010/016
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Mar 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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