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OK0NAG > SOLAR 12.03.09 00:07l 70 Lines 2753 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Wed, 11 Mar 2009 22:02:39 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Mar 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 070 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Mar 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels on day 1 of the forecast period (12 March).
Activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active
levels during days 2 - 3 (13 - 14 March) with a chance for minor to
major storm periods at high latitudes due to a recurrent coronal
hole high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 12 Mar-14 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Mar 070
Predicted 12 Mar-14 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 11 Mar 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Mar 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Mar 001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Mar-14 Mar 005/005-012/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Mar-14 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/20/15
Minor storm 01/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/30/25
Minor storm 01/20/15
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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