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OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.03.09 23:07l 71 Lines 2757 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Tue, 10 Mar 2009 22:02:37 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Mar 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 069 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Mar 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during the first two days of the
forecast period (11 - 12 March). Activity is expected to increase to
quiet to active levels on day 3 (13 March) with a chance for minor
to major storm periods at high latitudes due to a recurrent coronal
hole high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 11 Mar-13 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Mar 070
Predicted 11 Mar-13 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 10 Mar 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Mar 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Mar 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar 005/005-005/005-012/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Mar-13 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/20
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/30
Minor storm 01/01/20
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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