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OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.02.09 23:06l 71 Lines 2799 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Wed, 4 Feb 2009 22:02:04 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Feb 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 035 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Feb 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The solar disk remains
spotless and there were no flares observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm conditions. The
disturbance in the solar wind continued from yesterday.
Observations from the ACE spacecraft reflect a possible CME
signature associated with this disturbance.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled conditions for 05 February.
Predominately quiet levels are expected for 06-07 February.
III. Event Probabilities 05 Feb-07 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Feb 070
Predicted 05 Feb-07 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 04 Feb 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Feb 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Feb 010/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Feb-07 Feb 006/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Feb-07 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/01/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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