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OK0NAG > SOLAR    01.02.09 17:47l 101 Lines 3672 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Monthly Ri Report
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Subject: Monthly Ri Report
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:Issued: 2009 Feb 01 1542 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/ri
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# MONTHLY REPORT ON THE INTERNATIONAL SUNSPOT NUMBER                 #

# from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                                        #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


Provisional International monthly mean Sunspot Number for
January 2009 : 1.5 (one point five)

Maximum : 10 on 11 // Minimum : 0 on 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 14, 15, 16, 
17, 18, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31

Provisional daily International Sunspot Numbers for January 2009 : 

      1..  0    6..  0   11.. 10   16..  0   21..  0   26..  0   31..  
0
      2..  0    7..  0   12..  8   17..  0   22..  0   27..  0
      3..  0    8..  0   13..  7   18..  0   23..  0   28..  0
      4..  0    9..  7   14..  0   19..  7   24..  0   29..  0
      5..  0   10..  9   15..  0   20..  0   25..  0   30..  0

60 cooperating stations on February 1, 10 UT

Predictions of the monthly smoothed Sunspot Number using the last
provisional value, calculated for July 2008 :   2.8 (+-5%)

            SM    CM                 SM    CM                 SM    CM 
    

2008 Aug     2     3     2009 Feb     7     9     2009 Aug    13    20

     Sep     2     4          Mar     8    10          Sep    15    22

     Oct     2     5          Apr     9    11          Oct    16    24

     Nov     5     6          May    10    13          Nov    17    27

     Dec     6     7          Jun    11    15          Dec    18    30

2009 Jan     6     8          Jul    12    17     2010 Jan    20    33


SM : SIDC classical method : based on an interpolation of Waldmeier's
standard curves; the estimated error ranges from 7% (first month) to
35% (last month)
CM : Combined method : the combined method is a regression technique
coupling a dynamo-based estimator with Waldmeier's idea of standard
curves, due to K. Denkmayr.
ref. : K. Denkmayr, P. Cugnon, 1997 : "About Sunspot Number Medium-Term

Predictions", in "Solar-Terrestrial Prediction Workshop V", eds.
G. Heckman et al., Hiraiso Solar Terrestrial Research Center, Japan, 103

 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #

# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #

#                                                                    #

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