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OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.01.09 00:06l 74 Lines 2995 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Thread-topic: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2009 22:01:33 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Jan 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 003 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jan 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flare activity
occurred. The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels. Active
levels occurred during 03/1000 - 1200Z. ACE solar wind measurements
indicated Earth remained within a recurrent coronal hole high-speed
stream. A gradual increase in solar wind velocities occurred during
most of the period with a peak of 568 km/sec detected at 03/1506Z.
IMF Bz varied from +05 nT to -07 nT with a period of sustained
southward Bz around 03/0700 - 1000Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the 3-day period (04 -
06 January) as the coronal hole high-speed stream gradually wanes.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Jan 070
Predicted 04 Jan-06 Jan 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 03 Jan 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jan 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jan 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jan-06 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/01/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/01/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
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