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OK0NAG > SOLAR 02.01.09 00:07l 71 Lines 2865 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2009 22:01:42 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Jan 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 001 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jan 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z
to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. ACE
solar wind measurements indicated Earth remained within a recurrent
coronal hole high-speed stream. Solar wind velocities gradually
decreased from 538 to 413 km/sec during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to active levels during day 1 (02 January).
Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels during
days 2 - 3 (03 - 04 January) as the high-speed stream subsides.
III. Event Probabilities 02 Jan-04 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Jan 069
Predicted 02 Jan-04 Jan 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 01 Jan 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Dec 008/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jan 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jan-04 Jan 012/012-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jan-04 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/15/05
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/20/10
Minor storm 15/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
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