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OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.12.08 00:22l 70 Lines 2639 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2008 22:01:34 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Dec 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 354 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Dec 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for 20 - 21 December. Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected for 22 December. The increase in
activity is forecast due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream.
III. Event Probabilities 20 Dec-22 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Dec 068
Predicted 20 Dec-22 Dec 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 19 Dec 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Dec 000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Dec 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Dec-22 Dec 005/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Dec-22 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/30
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/30
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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