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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2008 22:02:12 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jan 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 002 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jan 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 980 (S08E58) produced a
long duration C1 flare at 02/1000Z. An associated CME was observed
on LASCO C3 imagery at 02/1006Z. This region is currently
classified as a CSO beta sunspot group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There remains a slight chance for an isolated M-class
event from Region 980.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods at
high latitudes for the forecast period (3-5 January). Elevated
activity is forecast due to possible effects from transients
associated with the recent C-class flares.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Jan-05 Jan
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Jan 080
Predicted 03 Jan-05 Jan 085/087/090
90 Day Mean 02 Jan 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jan 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jan 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jan-05 Jan 006/008-008/010-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jan-05 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/25/25
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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