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OK0NAG > SOLAR    16.11.08 00:06l 69 Lines 2610 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2008 22:02:14 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Nov 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 320 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Nov 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1008 (N32 W65)
continues to decay.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare from region Region
1008.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           15 Nov 068
Predicted   16 Nov-18 Nov  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        15 Nov 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Nov  001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Nov-18 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    00/00/00
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    00/00/00

	  	  
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