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OK0NAG > SOLAR 14.11.08 23:03l 69 Lines 2706 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2008 22:01:11 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Nov 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 319 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Nov 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1008 (N33W53)
continues to be quiet and to decline.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare from Region 1008.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels in the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled conditions possible
during the forecast period.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Nov-17 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Nov 068
Predicted 15 Nov-17 Nov 070/068/068
90 Day Mean 14 Nov 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Nov 002/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Nov 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Nov-17 Nov 007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Nov-17 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 01/01/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 01/01/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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