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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Mon, 3 Nov 2008 22:02:11 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Nov 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Nov 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1007 (N35W38) produced a
C1.6 flare at 1119Z. Region 1007 is a beta magnetic configuration
and has grown slightly from approximately 20 millionths to 80
millionths.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Region 1007 has a chance of producing a C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (04-06
November).
III. Event Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Nov 070
Predicted 04 Nov-06 Nov 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 03 Nov 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Nov 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Nov 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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