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OK0NAG > SOLAR 02.11.08 23:04l 72 Lines 2826 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sun, 2 Nov 2008 22:02:10 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Nov 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1007 (N35W25), a
beta magnetic configuration, has eight spots visible in white light.
A CME was observed on the west limb at approximately 03:30Z, but is
not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low. Region 1007 has a slight chance of producing a C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (03 - 05
November).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Nov 069
Predicted 03 Nov-05 Nov 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 02 Nov 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov 000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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