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Date: Mon, 31 Dec 2007 22:02:15 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2007 Dec 31 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 365 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Dec 2007
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z
to 31/2100Z: Solar activity was low. A C8.3 flare occurred at
31/0111Z accompanied by Type II and Type IV radio sweeps (estimated
shock speed 682 km/s). An associated CME was observed on the east
limb near S09. The bright region from which the event originated
has been assigned Region 980 (S09E90).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels with a slight chance of an M-Class flare from Region
980.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at
geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 01 Jan-03 Jan
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 31 Dec 077
Predicted 01 Jan-03 Jan 078/080/085
90 Day Mean 31 Dec 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Dec 003/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Dec 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Jan-03 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Jan-03 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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