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Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2008 22:01:46 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Oct 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 291 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Oct 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 1005
(N26W42) decayed to spotless plage. Region 1006 (S26W78) remained
stable with a single spot.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet levels for the forecast period (18 to
20 October).
III. Event Probabilities 18 Oct-20 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 Oct 070
Predicted 18 Oct-20 Oct 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 17 Oct 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Oct 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Oct 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Oct-20 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Oct-20 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 01/01/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 01/01/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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