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LW3DBH > SOLAR 13.04.20 03:32l 75 Lines 2879 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 61378_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 12 04
Path: IZ3LSV<IQ2LB<IK1NHL<CX2SA<DB0ZAV<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200413/0109Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:61378 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:61378_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Apr 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 103 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Apr 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to
12/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (13 Apr, 14 Apr, 15 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 472 km/s at 12/0654Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 12/0459Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
12/0834Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 137 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (13 Apr, 14 Apr, 15
Apr).
III. Event probabilities 13 Apr-15 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Apr 071
Predicted 13 Apr-15 Apr 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 12 Apr 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Apr 004/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Apr 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Apr-15 Apr 006/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Apr-15 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Are you a parent? Do you sometimes find yourself unsure as to what to say
in those awkward situations? Worry no more...
Good children always obey. Quit acting so childish. Boys don't cry.
If you keep making faces, someday it'll freeze that way. Why do you
have to know so much? This hurts me more than it hurts you. Why?
Because I'm bigger than you. Well, you've ruined everything. Now are
you happy? Oh, grow up. I'm only doing this because I love you.
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
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