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LU9DCE > SOLAR 17.03.20 06:36l 70 Lines 2866 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 11514_LU9DCE
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Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 17 03
Path: IZ3LSV<ED1ZAC<GB7CIP<N7HPX<WH6FQE<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 200317/0400Z 11514@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQK6.0.19
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\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
CYGWIN - LU9DCE@GMX.COM
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Mar 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 76 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Mar 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to
16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (17 Mar, 18 Mar, 19 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 374 km/s at 15/2118Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 16/1037Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
16/1713Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 137 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (17 Mar,
18 Mar, 19 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 17 Mar-19 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Mar 070
Predicted 17 Mar-19 Mar 070/069/069
90 Day Mean 16 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Mar 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Mar 006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Mar-19 Mar 008/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Mar-19 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/25/25
Major-severe storm 25/25/25
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
This is a logical analogy too... anyone who's been around, knows the world
is run by paenguins. Always a paenguin behind the curtain, really getting
things done. And paenguins in politics--who can deny it?
-- Kevin M. Bealer, commenting on the penguin Linux logo
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Organizacion Radio Packet Argentina https://vk.com/ax25packet
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