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LU9DCE > SOLAR 12.03.20 06:31l 72 Lines 2724 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 11256_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 12 03
Path: IZ3LSV<IQ2LB<IR2UFV<N3HYM<LU3DVN<LU9DCE
Sent: 200312/0401Z 11256@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.19
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
CYGWIN - LU9DCE@GMX.COM
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Mar 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 71 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Mar 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to
11/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (12 Mar, 13 Mar, 14 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 324 km/s at 11/1533Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 175 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (12 Mar, 13 Mar, 14
Mar).
III. Event probabilities 12 Mar-14 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Mar 071
Predicted 12 Mar-14 Mar 071/071/071
90 Day Mean 11 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Mar 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Mar 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Mar-14 Mar 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Mar-14 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/15/15
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
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Software rots if not used.
These are great mysteries.
-- Geoffrey James, "The Tao of Programming"
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