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LU9DCE > SOLAR 07.03.20 06:03l 71 Lines 2692 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 10925_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 07 03
Path: IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<N7HPX<LU9DCE
Sent: 200307/0400Z 10925@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.19
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
CYGWIN - LU9DCE@GMX.COM
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Mar 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 66 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (07 Mar, 08 Mar, 09 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 394 km/s at 06/1315Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
06/1208Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
06/0912Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 211 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (07 Mar,
08 Mar, 09 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Mar 070
Predicted 07 Mar-09 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 06 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Mar 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar 008/008-008/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor Storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 25/25/25
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Any fool can tell the truth, but it requires a man of sense to know how to
lie well.
-- Samuel Butler
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
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