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LU9DCE > SOLAR 29.01.20 01:50l 84 Lines 3485 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
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Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 22 01
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Sent: 200122/0400Z 7713@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.19
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Jan 21 2240 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 21 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Jan 2020 COR
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z to
21/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (22 Jan, 23 Jan, 24 Jan).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 366 km/s at 21/1908Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 21/1313Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
21/1312Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 133 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (22 Jan), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (23 Jan) and quiet levels on day three (24 Jan).
III. Event probabilities 22 Jan-24 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Jan 071
Predicted 22 Jan-24 Jan 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 21 Jan 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Jan 002/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Jan 005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Jan-24 Jan 009/010-008/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Jan-24 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/15/10
Minor Storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 30/25/20
Major-severe storm 40/20/15
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Florence Flask was ... dressing for the opera when she turned to her husband
and screamed, "Erlenmeyer! My joules! Someone has stolen my joules!"
"Now, now, my dear," replied her husband, "keep your balance and reflux
a moment. Perhaps they're mislead."
"No, I know they're stolen," cried Florence. "I remember putting them in
my burette ... We must call a copper."
Erlenmeyer did so, and the flatfoot who turned up, one Sherlock Ohms, said the
outrage looked like the work of an arch-criminal by the name of Lawrence Ium.
"We must be careful -- he's a free radical, ultraviolet, and dangerous.
His girlfriend is a chlorine at the Palladium. Maybe I can catch him there."
With that, he jumped on his carbon cycle in an activated state and sped off
along the reaction pathway ...
-- Daniel B. Murphy, "Precipitations"
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