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LU9DCE > SOLAR 14.01.20 06:13l 71 Lines 2918 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 7348_LU9DCE
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Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 14 01
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6IHL<IK7NXU<HB9ON<IW2OHX<IR2UBX<EA2RCF<LU9DCE
Sent: 200114/0401Z 7348@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.19
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
SLACKWARE LINUX - LU9DCE@GMX.COM
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Jan 13 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 13 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jan 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to
13/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (14 Jan, 15 Jan, 16 Jan).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 400 km/s at 13/0837Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1362 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (14 Jan, 15 Jan) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (16 Jan).
III. Event probabilities 14 Jan-16 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Jan 072
Predicted 14 Jan-16 Jan 072/072/070
90 Day Mean 13 Jan 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jan 002/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jan 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan 010/010-008/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jan-16 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/30/20
Minor Storm 10/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 40/40/25
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"I quite agree with you," said the Duchess; "and the moral of
that is -- `Be what you would seem to be' -- or, if you'd like it put more
simply -- `Never imagine yourself not to be otherwise than what it might
appear to others that what you were or might have been was not otherwise
than what you had been would have appeared to them to be otherwise.'"
-- Lewis Carrol, "Alice in Wonderland"
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