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W7EES > SWPC 04.08.19 03:13l 48 Lines 1865 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 10531_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IW2OHX<IR2UBX<EA2RCF<LU9DCE<LU3DVN<N3HYM<KC9VYU<W9JUN<
W7EES
Sent: 190804/0047Z 10531@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 215 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Aug 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to
03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (04 Aug, 05 Aug, 06 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 408 km/s at 03/0107Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (04 Aug), unsettled to minor
storm levels on day two (05 Aug) and quiet to minor storm levels on day
three (06 Aug).
III. Event probabilities 04 Aug-06 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Aug 066
Predicted 04 Aug-06 Aug 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 03 Aug 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Aug 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Aug 004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Aug-06 Aug 011/012-018/025-015/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Aug-06 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/35/30
Minor Storm 05/15/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/15
Minor Storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 25/55/45
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