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W7EES > SWPC 02.08.19 18:13l 49 Lines 1934 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 10504_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IW2OHX<IR2UBX<EA2RCF<LU9DCE<N3HYM<KF5JRV<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 190802/1504Z 10504@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 213 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Aug 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to
01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (02 Aug, 03 Aug, 04 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 547 km/s at 01/0513Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 31/2148Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
31/2338Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (02 Aug, 03 Aug) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (04 Aug).
III. Event probabilities 02 Aug-04 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Aug 067
Predicted 02 Aug-04 Aug 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 01 Aug 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jul 010/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Aug 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Aug-04 Aug 005/005-006/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Aug-04 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/25
Major-severe storm 20/10/25
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