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W7EES  > SWPC     27.07.19 02:20l 56 Lines 2150 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
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Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
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>From w7ees%w7ees.or.usa.noam@i0ojj.ampr.org Sat Jul 27 02:17:13 2019
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Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 207 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jul 2019

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (27 Jul, 28 Jul, 29 Jul).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 377 km/s at 25/2115Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (27 Jul, 28 Jul)
and quiet levels on day three (29 Jul).

III.  Event probabilities 27 Jul-29 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           26 Jul 068
Predicted   27 Jul-29 Jul 068/068/068
90 Day Mean        26 Jul 069

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jul  003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Jul  003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Jul-29 Jul  007/008-007/008-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jul-29 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           20/25/20
Major-severe storm    15/20/15

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