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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2008 22:01:44 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Oct 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 284 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Oct 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. A new region was numbered
today as Region 1004 (S08W17).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for 11 October. Unsettled to active
conditions are expected for 12-13 October as a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 11 Oct-13 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Oct 069
Predicted 11 Oct-13 Oct 069/069/070
90 Day Mean 10 Oct 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Oct 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Oct 001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Oct-13 Oct 005/005-012/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Oct-13 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/30/15
Minor storm 01/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/40/20
Minor storm 01/20/10
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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