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OK0NAG > SOLAR 28.09.08 23:23l 73 Lines 2891 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2008 22:01:44 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Sep 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 272 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Sep 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z
to 28/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for days one and two of
the forecast period (29 and 30 September), there is a slight chance
for and isolated active period at high latitudes. On day three (01
October) activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active
conditions with a chance for minor storm periods at middle latitudes
and major storm levels at high latitudes due to a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 29 Sep-01 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Sep 067
Predicted 29 Sep-01 Oct 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 28 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Sep 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Sep 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Sep-01 Oct 008/008-008/010-020/025
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Sep-01 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/30
Minor storm 05/05/25
Major-severe storm 01/01/10
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/40
Minor storm 10/15/30
Major-severe storm 01/05/15
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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