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OK0NAG > SOLAR 28.09.08 00:30l 71 Lines 2786 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2008 22:01:43 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Sep 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 271 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Sep 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z
to 27/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (28 to
30 September). There is a chance for unsettled periods on days two
and three due to a recurrent solar wind stream expected to begin
influencing the geomagnetic field. On day three there is a slight
chance for an isolated active period at high latitudes.
III. Event Probabilities 28 Sep-30 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Sep 067
Predicted 28 Sep-30 Sep 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 27 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Sep 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Sep 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Sep-30 Sep 005/005-008/008-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Sep-30 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 01/10/10
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 01/15/20
Minor storm 01/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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