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CX2SA > SWPC 09.03.18 23:23l 59 Lines 2071 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 37396_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IZ3LSV<IR2UBX<IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180309/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:37396 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:37396_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Mar 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 68 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Mar 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to
09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (10 Mar, 11 Mar, 12 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 438 km/s at 09/1842Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 09/2041Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
09/0120Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day (10 Mar) and quiet levels days
two and three (11 Mar, 12 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 10 Mar-12 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Mar 068
Predicted 10 Mar-12 Mar 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 09 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Mar 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Mar 008/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Mar-12 Mar 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Mar-12 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 15/10/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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