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CX2SA > SWPC 08.03.18 23:23l 59 Lines 2092 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 37324_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IZ3LSV<IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180308/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:37324 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:37324_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Mar 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 67 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Mar 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to
08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Mar, 10 Mar, 11 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 376 km/s at 07/2129Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
08/1539Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
08/0439Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (09 Mar), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (10 Mar) and quiet levels on day three (11 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Mar 067
Predicted 09 Mar-11 Mar 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 08 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Mar 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Mar 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 009/012-007/010-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/20/10
Minor Storm 10/10/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/15
Minor Storm 30/25/20
Major-severe storm 45/25/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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