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OK0NAG > SOLAR 27.09.08 00:30l 70 Lines 2716 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2008 22:01:44 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Sep 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 270 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Sep 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk was spotless as Region 1002 (N26W79) decayed to plage.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for all three days (27 to 29
September). There is a slight chance for isolated unsettled periods
on day three, as a recurrent solar wind stream rotates into a
geoeffective position.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Sep-29 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Sep 068
Predicted 27 Sep-29 Sep 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 26 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Sep 001/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Sep 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Sep-29 Sep 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Sep-29 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 01/01/10
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 01/01/15
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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