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OK0NAG > SOLAR    25.09.17 14:12l 130 Lines 4578 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
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To: solar@eu
Date: Mon, 25 Sep 2017 13:11:37 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC

:Issued: 2017 Sep 25 1311 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

GEOALERT BRU268
UGEOA 30512 70925 1311/ 9930/ 
10252 21252 30252 
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 25 Sep 2017 until 27 Sep 
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Sep 2017  10CM FLUX: 081 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Sep 2017  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Sep 2017  10CM FLUX: 085 / AP: 013
COMMENT: Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. No significant

flares have been recorded. NOAA AR region 2681 (Catania group 55) has been

most active, producing two B-class flares. No Earth directed Coronal Mass

Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in coronograph observations. The
greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past

24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours

with a small probability of C-class flares.

The solar wind parameters remained at nominal levels over the past 24 hours

(except one short-term weak enhancement around midnight due to the
influence of a small negative polarity CH HSS). The solar wind speed is

presently about 390 km/s and still decreasing. The total magnetic field

strength has been slowly decreasing from around 10 nT to 2 nT. The Bz
component fluctuated around 0 nT and was mainly positive, ranging between

-3 and +2.5 nT (except two singular episodes of Bz = -6 and -9 nT yesterday

evening). Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-3 (NOAA) and

local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions

are expected to be from quiet to unsettled today and tomorrow. Active
conditions till minor geomagnetic storms can be expected on September 27

due to the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 039, BASED ON 22 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 70925 1311/ 24/// 
1//// 20870 3006/ 4//// 8//// 9//// 
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES 

NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 70925 1311/ 25/08 25103 
10055 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50100 60006 21412 00000 
10056 2//// 3//// 472// 50110 60001 26810 00000 
10057 2//// 3//// 474// 50070 60002 18613 00000 
99999
USSPS 31405 25088 03942 55010 21412 22306 56011 26810 2/901 57007 18613 
4/802
USSPS 81202 23049 01232 72011 24313 2/802
USSPS 32404 23063 01132 77010 24413 2/801
USSPS 21305 23208 01232 76012 23613 3/802
UMAGF 30503 70925 1004/ 24069 1/014 21112 33322
UMAGF 31523 70925 0000/ 24009 1/006 21111 31233

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

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# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

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# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #

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