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OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.09.08 23:50l 72 Lines 2814 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2008 22:01:41 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Sep 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 254 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Sep 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to briefly unsettled levels.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (11 -12 September).
Activity is expected to increase to unsettled levels on day 3 (13
September) as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream begins to
influence the field.
III. Event Probabilities 11 Sep-13 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Sep 067
Predicted 11 Sep-13 Sep 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 10 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Sep 004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Sep 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Sep-13 Sep 005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Sep-13 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/20
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/25
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
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