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OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.09.08 00:11l 74 Lines 2985 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 5 Sep 2008 22:02:06 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Sep 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 249 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Sep 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet during the past 24
hours, with the exception of an unsettled period from 0300-0600Z.
Solar wind observations at ACE show a generally declining trend in
the solar wind velocity with values around 500 km/s at the end of
the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next two days (06-07
September). Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels for the
third day (08 September).
III. Event Probabilities 06 Sep-08 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Sep 065
Predicted 06 Sep-08 Sep 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 05 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Sep 017/033
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Sep 007/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Sep-08 Sep 007/010-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Sep-08 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/05
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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