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OK0NAG > SOLAR 03.09.08 23:10l 73 Lines 2909 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Wed, 3 Sep 2008 22:02:07 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Sep 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 247 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Sep 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. The solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
Solar wind signatures at ACE indicated the passage of a corotating
interaction region followed by a slow steady rise in solar wind
velocity.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with occasional active periods for
the next two days (4-5 September) due to the influence of a
favorably positioned coronal hole. Activity levels are expected to
decline to predominantly unsettled for the third day (6 September).
III. Event Probabilities 04 Sep-06 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Sep 066
Predicted 04 Sep-06 Sep 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 03 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Sep 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Sep 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Sep-06 Sep 012/012-012/018-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Sep-06 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/40/20
Minor storm 15/15/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/50/30
Minor storm 20/20/10
Major-severe storm 10/10/05
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