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Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2008 22:01:44 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Aug 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 230 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Aug 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (18-20 August).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
the next three days (18-20 August). The increase is in response to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 18 Aug-20 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 Aug 067
Predicted 18 Aug-20 Aug 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 17 Aug 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Aug 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Aug 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Aug-20 Aug 010/010-012/015-007/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Aug-20 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/35/15
Minor storm 10/10/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/55/20
Minor storm 15/20/10
Major-severe storm 10/10/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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