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OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.08.08 23:07l 69 Lines 2660 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Wed, 6 Aug 2008 22:01:44 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Aug 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The solar disk was
spotless. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (7 August), and
unsettled to active on days two and three (8-9 August). The increase
in activity is forecast due to a corotatng interaction region.
III. Event Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Aug 067
Predicted 07 Aug-09 Aug 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 06 Aug 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Aug 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 007/008-010/015-015/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/30/35
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/30/40
Minor storm 01/15/20
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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