| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 23.07.08 00:49l 73 Lines 2899 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : M7IOK0NAG00R
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<ON0AR<YU7R<HG8LXL<HG8GL<HA5OB<9A0BBS<OK0NAG
Sent: 080722/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
Priority: normal
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Thread-index: AcjsRo4Mf40IQGrOS4qopjkS3WSMpA==
Thread-topic: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2008 22:01:55 -0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1216764129-35df00000000-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 22 Jul 2008 22:08:39.0687 (UTC) FILETIME=[7EF4E170:01C8EC47]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
Content-class: urn:content-classes:message
Importance: normal
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-bin/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-virus-scanned: by Barracuda Spam Firewall at asu.cas.cz
X-mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.3790.4133
X-barracuda-start-time: 1216764134
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jul 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 204 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Jul 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. Region 1000 (S12W31) is spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The solar wind data at
ACE indicated the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream. Solar
wind velocity increased significantly at about 1300Z to values
ranging from 580-630 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active during day one (23 July), mostly
unsettled on day two (24 July), and quiet on day three (25 July).
The increase in activity is expected due to effects from the
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 23 Jul-25 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Jul 066
Predicted 23 Jul-25 Jul 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 22 Jul 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Jul 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Jul 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul 015/015-010/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Jul-25 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/20/10
Minor storm 15/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/25/10
Minor storm 20/10/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
